1. 总体情况
郭鸿业发表论文80余篇,其中以第一作者或通讯作者身份在Nature Energy、IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid、IEEE Transactions on Power Systems、Advances in Applied Energy、Applied Energy等SCI期刊发表论文27篇;出版专著2本,参与编制电力市场和负荷管理相关国家标准2项,获授权国家发明专利13项、软件著作权10项。代表性成果获教育部科学研究优秀成果奖一等奖、中国能源研究会能源学术创新奖一等奖、中国电工技术学会科技进步奖二等奖、日内瓦国际发明展评审团特别嘉许金奖、年度优秀论文和F5000等荣誉。
2. 专著
[1] 参编:北京电力交易中心. 全国统一电力市场建设与运营. 中国电力出版社, 2025, ISBN: 978-7523901939.
[2] Cheng Feng, Hongye Guo, Kedi Zheng, et al. Cyber-Physical Virtual Power Plants: Modeling, Operation, and Control. Springer Nature, 2025, ISBN: 978-9819653577.
3. 国际期刊论文
[1] Ruike Lyu, Anna Li, Jianxiao Wang, ... Hongye Guo*, et al. Industrial overcapacity can enable seasonal flexibility in electricity use. Nature Energy, 2026, early access.
[2] Chuyi Li, Kedi Zheng, Pedro P. Vergara, ... Hongye Guo*, et al. Aggregating DER Uncertainty: Minkowski Sum Under Joint Chance Constraints. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2026, early access.
[3] Chuyi Li, Kedi Zheng, Pedro P. Vergara, ... Hongye Guo*. A Projection Method for Aggregating Large-Scale DERs with Heterogeneity. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2026, early access.
[4] Mengshu Shi, Peilin Xie, Lujin Yao, ... Hongye Guo*, et al. Electricity-hydrogen coupled energy storage bilevel optimization for offshore wind-powered zero-carbon port microgrids considering multiple uncertainties. Applied Energy, 2025, 401(A): 126672.
[5] Ruike Lyu, Xiangbo Su, Ershun Du, ... Hongye Guo*, et al. Efficient Scheduling of Discrete Industrial Processes through Continuous Modeling. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2025, 16(6): 4726–4740.
[6] Yuanbo Chen, Hongye Guo*, Chongqing Kang, et al. Grid-Forming Battery Storage: Enabling Renewable-Dominant Power Systems for a Sustainable Future. IEEE Energy and Sustainable Magazine, 2025, 1(2): 17–31.
[7] Qinghu Tang, Hongye Guo*, Daniel S. Kirschen, et al. Understanding bidding strategies of intermittent renewables in negative price environments: A theoretical and empirical analysis. Advances in Applied Energy, 2025, 17: 100209.
[8] Yuanbo Chen, Kedi Zheng, Cheng Feng, ... Hongye Guo*, et al. Optimal Grid-Forming BESS Management Incorporating Internal Battery Physics. Applied Energy, 2025, 385: 125448.
[9] Cheng Feng, Kedi Zheng, Lanqing Shan, ... Hongye Guo*. Connection-aware P2P trading: Simultaneous trading and peer selection. Applied Energy, 2025, 377: 124658.
[10] Jinyu Liu, Hongye Guo*, Yun Li, et al. Reinforcement Learning Based Bidding Framework with High-dimensional Bids in Power Markets. Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy, 2025, 13(4): 1373–1382.
[11] Ruike Lyu, Hongye Guo*, Goran Strbac, et al. Data-Driven Dimension Reduction for Industrial Load Modeling Using Inverse Optimization. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2025, 16(3): 2695–2698.
[12] Ruike Lyu, Hongye Guo*, Qinghu Tang, et al. Production Scheduling Identification: An Inverse Optimization Approach for Industrial Load Modeling Using Smart Meter Data. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2025, 16(2): 1207–1220.
[13] Hongye Guo, Qixin Chen, Mohammad Shahidehpour, et al. Bidding behaviors of GENCOs under bounded rationality with renewable energy. Energy, 2022, 250: 123793.
[14] Hongye Guo, Qixin Chen, Kedi Zheng, et al. Forecast Aggregated Supply Curves in Power Markets based on LSTM Model. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2021, 36(6): 5767–5779.
[15] Hongye Guo, Michael R. Davidson, Qixin Chen, et al. Power market reform in China: Motivations, progress, and recommendations. Energy Policy, 2020, 145: 111717.
4. 国际会议论文
[1] Jinyu Liu, Feiran Yun, Zhen Xu, ... Hongye Guo*, et al. Price-Simulation Oriented Forecasting of Individual Bidding Behaviors in Electricity Markets. IEEE PES General Meeting 2026, Montreal, Canada, 2026, accepted.
[2] Jiaxiang Zhang, Ruike Lyu, Xiaohui You, ... Hongye Guo*. When Will Real-Time Pricing Outperform Time-of-Use Pricing Significantly? IEEE PES International Meeting 2025, Hong Kong, China, 2025, accepted.
[3] Jiarui Li, Ruike Lyu, Yingrui Zhang, ... Hongye Guo*. Value-Based Industrial Load Shedding with Supply Chain Coordination Reduces Electricity Cost. IEEE PES International Meeting 2025, Hong Kong, China, 2025, accepted.
[4] Xue Liu, Songtai Yu, Shuo Liu, ... Hongye Guo*, et al. Modeling Strategic Behaviors of GenCos With Joint Consideration on Spot and Medium & Long-term Electricity Markets. IEEE PowerTech 2025 Conference, Kiel, Germany, 2025.
[5] Qixing Liu, Ruike Lyu, Zhe Zhai, ... Hongye Guo*. Integrating Fast-Response Capability into Virtual Power Plant Operation for Ancillary Services. IEEE PowerTech 2025 Conference, Kiel, Germany, 2025.
[6] Yan Shen, Ruike Lyu, Hongye Guo*, et al. An Improved Modeling Method for Electrolyte Aluminum Loads Considering Thermal Balance and Flexible Regulation Cost. 2025 IEEE International Conference on Power System and Smart Grid Technologies, Chongqing, China, 2025. Best Presentation.
[7] Ruoxu Chen, Zhuofan Tang, Ruike Lyu, ... Hongye Guo*. Combining AI and Simulation to Assess Building Demand Response Potential at Scale. 2025 IEEE 5th International Conference on Advances in Electrical, Electronics and Computing Technology, Guangzhou, China, 2025: 1–6. Best Presentation.
[8] Yuanbo Chen, Yinxiao Li, Kedi Zheng, ... Hongye Guo*. Unveiling Thermal-sensitive BESS Cost with Coordinated Energy-Temperature Management. 2025 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting, Austin, USA, 2025.
[9] Jiuzhou Dong, Shuailong Zhang, Nan Jiang, ... Hongye Guo*, et al. Allocate Capacity Cost While Maximizing Social Welfare: A Ramsey Pricing Approach. 2025 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting, Austin, USA, 2025.
[10] Jinyu Liu, Hongye Guo*, Qixin Chen. Deep Differentiable Reinforcement Learning for Generic Energy Storage Day-Ahead Bidding with Transformer Neural Networks. 2024 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting, Seattle, USA, 2024: 1–5.
[11] Ruike Lyu, Hongye Guo, Qixin Chen. Approximating energy-regulation feasible region of virtual power plants: a data-driven inverse optimization approach. 2024 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting, Seattle, USA, 2024: 1–5.
[12] Aijia Luo, Ruike Lyu, Hongye Guo, et al. An Incentive-Compatible VPP Profit Allocation Model Considering the Operating Characteristics of Air Conditioning Loads. 2024 7th International Conference on Energy, Electrical and Power Engineering, 2024.
[13] Haotian Song, Qinghu Tang, Hongye Guo, et al. Data-Driven Electricity Market Price Risk Evaluation Based on Price Elasticity Indicator. 2023 IEEE/IAS Industrial and Commercial Power System Asia, 2023: 467–472. Best Industrial Paper.
[14] Hongye Guo, Qixin Chen, Qing Xia, et al. A Market-Power-Controlled Spot Market Clearing Mechanism Based on Residual Supply Index. 2018 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting, Portland, USA, 2018: 1–5.
[15] Hongye Guo, Qixin Chen, Qing Xia, et al. Evaluating the impacts of VPPs on the joint energy and ancillary service markets equilibrium. 2017 IEEE Power Energy Society General Meeting, 2017: 1–5.
5. 国内期刊论文
[1] 董九舟, 房曦晨, 郭鸿业*, 等. 内嵌闭环检验的电力市场多目标机制设计方法. 电网技术, 2026, accepted.
[2] 黄卓尔, 唐庆虎, 郭鸿业*, 等. 基于大语言模型多智能代理架构的居民用户需求响应决策. 电力系统自动化, 2026, early access.
[3] 郭鸿业*, 张帅龙, 田洪迅, 等. 面向新型电力系统的市场化容量充裕性机制的实践与建议. 电力系统自动化, 2026, early access.
[4] 李金航, 刘瑾瑜, 郭鸿业*, 等. 基于小样本学习的极端温度变化场景下短期负荷预测. 电网技术, 2026, early access.
[5] 邬凯浪, 李寅晓, 李立, ... 郭鸿业*. 楼宇型虚拟电厂参与能量和灵活爬坡市场优化运行策略. 上海交通大学学报, 2026, 60(4): 604–616.
[6] 刘学, 董九舟, 姜楠, ... 郭鸿业*, 等. 面向高比例可再生能源的广义电力中长期交易体系. 中国电机工程学报, 2025, 45(S1): 1–17.
[7] 石梦舒, 刘瑾瑜, 郭鸿业*, 等. 高比例新能源电力系统中负电价的成因分析与应对建议. 电力系统自动化, 2025, early access.
[8] 黄福全, 何宇俊, 郭鸿业*, 等. 考虑主配网协同的虚拟电厂灵活性调度与现货出清模型. 电力建设, 2025, 46(7): 42–52.
[9] 邬凯浪, 单兰晴, 薄利明, ... 郭鸿业*, 等. 考虑电力系统灵活爬坡需求的火电厂碳捕集改造方案优化方法. 电力建设, 2025, 46(9): 27–41.
[10] 董九舟, 郭鸿业*, 姜涛, 等. 新型电力系统的电碳耦合交易研究. 中国电机工程学报, 2025, 45(15): 5752–5771.
[11] 单兰晴, 宋昊天, 唐庆虎, ... 郭鸿业*, 等. 分散决策下的电力平衡机制分析与启示:以德国平衡结算单元为例. 电网技术, 2025, 49(4): 1436–1446.
[12] 苏湘波, 吕睿可, 白云龙, ... 郭鸿业*. 基于最优可调负荷模型的工业过程用电可行域建模方法. 电力系统自动化, 2026, 50(2): 18–29.
[13] 邱小燕, 刘学, 郭鸿业*, 等. 可再生能源长期购售协议的国际实践及启示. 电力自动化设备, 2025, 45(2): 1–10.
[14] 苏湘波, 吕睿可, 郭鸿业*. 基于负荷台阶的工业需求响应用户优选方法. 中国电力, 2024, 57(1): 18–29.
[15] 郭鸿业, 郑可迪, 唐庆虎, 等. 数据驱动的电力市场研究:挑战与展望. 电力系统自动化, 2023, 47(1): 200–215.
6. 参编标准
[1] 2025.08.01,国家市场监督管理总局、国家标准化管理委员会. 电力现货市场运营—第9部分:市场力监测与缓解. GB/T 45905.9-2025.
[2] 2024.04.25,全国电力系统管理及信息交换标准化技术委员会(SAC/TC 82). 电力负荷管理系统技术规范. GB/T 15148-2024.
7. 观点文章
[1] 郭鸿业, 石梦舒, 董九舟, 等. 新能源机制电价背景下,负电价会更严重吗?中国电力企业管理, 2025.12.
[2] 康重庆, 郭鸿业, 姜楠. 深化电力市场衔接与驱动 推动全国统一电力市场体系建设. 国家能源局平台, 2025.12.31.
[3] 郭鸿业, 姜楠. 我国电力市场迈入规范化、高质量发展新阶段. 国家能源局平台, 2025.09.20.
[4] 郭鸿业, 房曦晨, 侯胜任, 等. 电力市场中的量化交易:降维打击还是熨平风险?南方能源观察, 2025.03.28.
[5] 郭鸿业, 姜楠, 许庆宇, 等. 制度创新驱动绿电深化发展,市场主导引领多元价值协同. 中国能源报, 2025.03.19.
8. 授权专利
[1] 郭鸿业, 刘瑾瑜, 潘宁康, 等. 储能系统多市场联合投标优化方法、装置、设备及介质. 中国, ZL202511309764.3, 授权日期:2026.03.20.
[2] 郭鸿业, 吕睿可, 陈启鑫, 等. 数据驱动的海量资源调控约束降维方法及装置. 中国, ZL202411271855.8, 授权日期:2026.03.03.
[3] 康重庆, 张宁, 钟海旺, ... 郭鸿业, 等. 基于可解释性人工智能的新能源规划典型方式提取方法. 中国, ZL202511375037.7, 授权日期:2025.12.26.
[4] 庞博, 郭鸿业, 姜楠, 等. 基于多价值协同调度框架的多维度成本评估方法及装置. 中国, ZL202411871167.5, 授权日期:2025.11.25.
[5] 郭鸿业, 冯成, 姜楠, 等. 虚拟电厂参与调频服务的无线网隔离切片确定方法及装置. 中国, ZL202411277978.2, 授权日期:2025.09.02.
[6] 李楚一, 郑可迪, 郭鸿业. 基于混合整数规划的针对工业设施的负荷分解方法和装置. 中国, ZL202210285953.1, 授权日期:2025.05.30.
9. 软件著作权
[1] 郭鸿业, 刘瑾瑜, 潘宁康, 等. 基于深度可导强化学习的储能多市场联合投标优化系统V1.0, 2025, 软著登字第16558728号.
[2] 郭鸿业, 陈远博, 蔡元纪, 等. 构网型锂电池储能系统功率仿真及控制软件V1.0, 2025, 软著登字第15328654号.
[3] 何宇俊, 汤卓凡, 郭鸿业. 空调负荷互动服务微应用软件V1.0, 2025, 软著登字第16789756号.
[4] 王鹏, 张宁, 钟海旺, ... 郭鸿业, 等. 基于大语言模型的新能源电力系统智能运行模拟程序V1.0, 2025, 软著登字第16908401号.
[5] 邓俊, 王潇平, 李寅晓, ... 郭鸿业. 电力灵活爬坡辅助服务市场定价及成本分摊决策软件V1.0, 2024, 软著登字第14509093号.